NBA Playoffs: Klay Thompson or James Harden

This is the 1st of the series of comparing players during the NBA playoffs. I decided to look at the match up between Klay Thompson and James Harden. This comes on the heels of the Warriors record setting 73-9 season and the Rockets rush to the 8th and final playoff spot. I selected this match up because these two will play each other in the 1st round. I realize they are in different price ranges in daily fantasy.

Analytics indicate that all players perform better when rested. Keep that in mind since there are 2 to 3 days between games to get the ultimate performance.

Harden has average 10 points more during the last 5 games of the regular season. His turnovers are down during this same period by 1 to 2 per game. His value per cost has increased .12 over the season and he is trending up.

Thompson is averaging 4 points less but getting 1 more rebound per outing during the last 5 games. His value per cost has decreased by .24 and he is trending down. Thompson's price is better.

Harden will give more productivity. He won't be playing beyond this series so grab him now!

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NBA Playoffs 2015-2016

The NBA playoffs started this week. I will have a series of articles that will compare comparable

players based on daily fantasy prices and make a determination as to which one has the best value.

I will also participate in a contest that will run through the entire playoffs. The players that obtain

a double - double will get one point. If the player get a triple double, he gets two points. A quadruple double that does not include turnovers would get 4 points. The player that gets the most points wins.

I want the fans of DraftKing and FanDuel to follow me and see how well I do. Tell me who you would pick as your player. I will update this blog post through the duration of the playoffs.

Which of these guys would you pick?

Follow me and see which one, if any, I select. Leave a comment if you like someone not pictured.

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               Read my latest post about #Warriors Klay Thompson & #Rockets James Harden.
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This Week in Gaming Review

 

FanDuel and DraftKings have suspended all college sports contests involving NCAA players from their offering of Fantasy Sports effective at the end of this Final Four Weekend.This makes Fantasy Sports acceptable to some legislators that are currently on the fence. They are presently 30 states that are considering some form of regulations (pro or con) about daily fantasy. While the debate over skill

or gambling continues, most states see this as a tax generating revenue base. It is part of what the public considers fun. This is simply giving the people what they want.

 
                                                                  Final Four Odds
                                         The North Carolina vs. Syracuse analysis is here.

The Tar Heels opened as a 4-5 favorites at the Westgate SuperBook, followed by Villanova at 11-4, Oklahoma at 4-1 and long-shot Syracuse at 10-1.  The match up between Nova and the Sooners is here.
Villanova -1.5 o/u 149.5
North Carolina  -9.5 o/u 149.5
Both of the above are opening numbers.

As of this post,the Sooners are now 7-2 and Carolina is 5-7.
The Orangemen are 12-1 and the Cats are 16-5. When you compare the line movement,the sports books are generating interest in both of the former Big East rivals. Interest does not always lead to
action.

 

Villanova was attracting the bulk of the early bets against Oklahoma at sportsbook operator CG Technology. According to CG Technology vice president of race and sports Jason Simbal, 10 times more money had been wagered on the favored Wildcats compared to the Sooners as of Sunday night.

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NBA Daily Fantasy:Russell Westbrook vs. Kevin Durant

I am caught up in the #SSAC16 and #DecadeofData frenzy. I am sharing my own analytics comparing Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant. I compared their stats over the entire season
to the last 5 games played. I used a scoring system that is associated with #FanDuel.  Assists and Rebounds have more statistical value than points. Turnovers are negative so they decrease the player's score.

I chose Westbrook and Durant because they have similar value in the Daily Fantasy Sport world.
I assigned both of them a cash value of $10,900.

Who would you select? ________

My answer is below.

 Durant is outscoring Westbrook by 8 points over the past 5 games. Westbrook has almost twice as many assists during the same period. Durant total fantasy value over the past 5 games is 50.68 while Westbrook value is 47.70. Both of them have alarmingly high turnover ratios.My analytics show an overall upward trend for Durant.

 

 

 

Westbrook is ahead of Durant statistically for the season with a fantasy value projection base on price of 4.61 to 4.43. I would stay with Westbrook at the same price but if the trend continues upward over the next 2 games then switch to Durant. Value and timing are extremely important elements to winning.

 

The Thunder play the Spurs tonight on NBA on ABC.  See the complete schedule . I am staying with Westbrook since he will be matched against Tony Parker (offensively) more than Kawhi Leonard. More favorable for Westbrook.

                                                          

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This week in Gaming Review

Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board Director of the Office of Compulsive and Problem Gambling, Elizabeth Lanza, has received the “2016 Person of the Year Award” from the Council on Compulsive Gambling of Pennsylvania.  Director Lanza received the award last week during the organization’s “2016 CCGPA Statewide Conference East” in Trevose. This is outstanding news and well timed. This is National Problem Gaming Awareness Month. I suggest we take a moment to revisit some of the initiatives the AGA recommends regarding responsible gaming.

New Jersey is strongly exploring the concept of skill based games with regulations that will fast

track new product to the casino floor. I expect more new about this at the IGNA and the ECGC. The I Gaming North America will be held 4/5/16 thru 4/7/16. The East Coast Gaming Congress will take place 5/25/16 thru 5/26/16. I plan to follow attendees and provide commentary during both events.

New Jersey is also looking at Daily Fantasy Sports as a revenue generator. State Senator Jim Whelan proposed a bill that would regulate daily leagues only and tax them at the current casino rate of 9.5%.

More news from PokerStars this week. In a press release, PokerStars parent company Amaya stated:

“Amaya Inc. (NASDAQ: AYA; TSX: AYA) today announced that it expects to initially launch its PokerStars brand in New Jersey on Monday, March 21, 2016.  The launch quickly follows the September 2015 authorization by the New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement (the “DGE”) to operate the PokerStars and Full Tilt brands in the State. Amaya currently expects to conduct an interim testing period with the DGE and a beta period for a limited player base beginning in mid-March.”

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Top Three Things about Paris Casino in Las Vegas

Number 1 is Paris was voted the top place to play Craps in 2015.

Number 2 is the outstanding buffets.

Number 3 is Ruth's Chris Steak House.

 

 

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This Week in Gaming Review

 

The hearing on Sports Betting was held in Philadelphia on Tuesday. This will impact New Jersey and Pennsylvania “Look for either an 8-4 or 7-5 victory in favor of the leagues,” said Daniel Wallach, a sports and gambling lawyer at Becker & Poliakoff in Fort Lauderdale, Fla. “I don’t expect New Jersey to raise the white flag if it loses. The state is nothing if not persistent.”

 

As part of a grassroots efforts, the American Gaming Association recently launched a website – SportsBettingInAmerica.com – that serves as the hub for information and support from people across the country. If you agree that sports betting law should be changed, join the effort and sign up.

 

International news gives support to the movement for Sports Betting in America. The following is an article from I Gaming Business. Spain’s gambling regulator, the Dirección General de Ordenación del Juego (DGOJ), has revealed that the country’s online gaming market experienced a 26% year-on-year increase in revenue in the 12 months through to December 31, 2015.

Gross gaming revenue for the full year totalled €319.6 million ($357 million), while turnover also increased 28% year-on-year to more than €8 billion.

Sports betting served as the main source of income for operators, generating a total of €179 million of the overall revenue figure and representing an increase of 49% on the previous year.

Although the online slots market also jumped 80% to €67.5 million, the DGOJ did report that revenue from poker dropped to €59.8 million, while bingo also fell to €7.8 million.

The largely positive full-year results come after an impressive fourth quarter in the country, during which revenue hiked 40% year-on-year to €94.7 million.

Sportsbook revenue came in at €53.5 million for the three months to December 31, with casino generating €22.6 million, poker €14.5 million and bingo just €2.1 million.

 

 

The decision will be rendered sometime later this spring or early this summer. I am not confident that New Jersey will prevail. I do think this battle will pick up on a national level.

 

I am headed to Las Vegas this week. I will share part of my time with you once I return.

 

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